Strong Dollar, Trade Troubles Hit Metals as Copper Swings to Bear Market

Strong Dollar, Trade Troubles Hit Metals as Copper Swings to Bear Market

Aug 23, 2018

Copper prices swung to bear-market territory Thursday as an escalating U.S.-China trade war and stronger dollar forced traders to flee metals.

Copper prices fell 1.14% to $2.64, taking the total losses to 20% from its recent peak of $3.30 in June, the definition of a bear market.

The China and U.S. tariffs on each other's goods that went into effect Thursday served as a reminder to market participants that the world's largest two economies remain locked in an escalating trade war, even as both nations continued a second day of trade talks.

The United States imposed 25% tariffs on an additional $16 billion of Chinese goods just after midnight ET Thursday, prompting China to respond with in-kind measures against U.S. goods.

China, the largest consumer of commodities, has seen its economy come under heavy pressure in a months-long trade dispute, raising doubts about demand for commodities like copper.

China has strived to match the U.S. tariffs dollar-for-dollar, but the U.S. has more rounds to fire as it exports far less to China, whose economy is more reliant on exports.

Trade-war concerns, however, did not prompt demand for safe-haven Gold as the stronger dollar and concerns about future interest rate hikes kept a lid on the yellow metal.

Gold futures for December delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange fell by 0.75%, to $1,194.30 a troy ounce.

The minutes of the Federal Reserve, released Wednesday, showed officials were content for further increases in interest rates on expectations for ongoing above-trend growth.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, rose by 0.54% to 95.51.

In a rising interest rate environment, investor appetite for gold weakens as the opportunity cost of holding the precious metal increases relative to other interest-bearing assets such as bonds.

In other metals trade, zinc and aluminum prices managed to hold gains, but Platinum and nickel fell sharply.

Zinc prices rose 0.31% at 2,465.75, while aluminum prices rose 0.23% to 2,074.00.

Silver futures fell 1.39% to $14.55 a troy ounce, platinum futures lost 1.97% to $778.10, while nickel futures fell 2.54% to 13,240.00.

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